Supervisor

Dr. Muhammad Iqbal

Programme

BSc (Hons) in Computing in IT

Subject

Computer Science

Abstract

Dublin has been experiencing severe traffic congestion due to rapid economic and population growth, with residents losing an average of 158 hours per year in traffic during rush hour (Europe Data, 2025). A 2022 European Commission study found that 76% of Irish people use a car as their primary mode of transport on a typical day—an 8% increase from 2019, compared to the EU average of 47% (MacCarthaigh, 2022).

This project proposes a data-driven approach to identifying current transport accessibility gaps and forecasting future population growth across Dublin to support sustainable infrastructure development. Using Ireland’s Census data, an unsupervised method was applied to cluster EDs based on similarities in population dynamics. Forecasts were generated in 5-year intervals, revealing key growth across Dublin using a clustered VAR model.

These findings can offer actionable insights to policymakers, urban planners, transport authorities and private sector stakeholders. The combined models provide a scalable framework for demand forecasting and transport prioritisation relevant today and at transport project completion.

Date of Award

2025

Full Publication Date

2025

Access Rights

open access

Document Type

Undergraduate Project

Resource Type

bachelor thesis

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