Supervisor

Dr. Muhammad Iqbal

Programme

MSc in Data Analytics

Subject

Computer Science

Abstract

Accurate forecasting of pedestrian activity is important for smart city planning, retail analytics, and public service management. This study presents a forecasting framework using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks that integrates multiple data sources, including weather, calendar variables, and engineered temporal features. The model development follows a structured pipeline from baseline univariate models to a fully optimized multivariate model using feature engineering and hyperparameter tuning techniques such as Hyperband and Bayesian optimization. The final model achieved a Mean Absolute Error of 24.05 and explained 97.10% of the variance in unseen data, effectively capturing both regular patterns and short-term fluctuations in pedestrian footfall. The findings highlight the value of multimodal data integration and structured optimization for improving urban time series forecasting.

Date of Award

2025

Full Publication Date

2025

Access Rights

open access

Document Type

Capstone Project

Resource Type

thesis

Included in

Data Science Commons

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